InflationMonthly

SPY & Core Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index excluding food and energy prices, which tend to be more volatile.

SPY Price

$688.98

Core CPI YoY

Last Data: Dec 2025
Last Release: Jan 13, 2026
Next Release: Feb 11, 2026
2.65%

What It Measures

Core CPI removes food and energy components from the headline CPI to provide a cleaner read on underlying inflation trends. Food and energy are excluded because: - **Energy prices** are highly volatile due to geopolitical events, weather, and global supply/demand - **Food prices** can swing due to weather, disease outbreaks, and commodity speculation Core CPI better reflects domestic demand-driven inflation and is less influenced by temporary supply shocks.

Why It Matters

**Policy Focus**: The Fed often emphasizes core inflation measures because they better predict future inflation trends. **Trend Indicator**: Core CPI shows whether inflation is becoming embedded in the economy or is temporary. **Services Inflation**: Core CPI is heavily influenced by services (especially housing), which tend to be stickier than goods prices.

Key Levels

Below 2% YoY
Underlying inflation subdued
2-3% YoY
Manageable core inflation
3-4% YoY
Elevated core inflation, policy concern
Above 4% YoY
Persistent inflation problem

Data Sources

SPY: S&P 500 ETF daily OHLCV data (1993-02-02 to 2026-01-22)

Core CPI: CPILFESL - Core Consumer Price Index from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Units: Index 1982-1984=100, Seasonally Adjusted, Monthly